Peer-Reviewed Article

Canadian Trends in Estimated Pharmaceutical Drug Purchases and Projections: 2023

This article has been peer reviewed.

Authors: Mina Tadrous, Pooyeh Graili, Kaleen N. Hayes, Heather L. Neville, Joanne Houlihan, Fiona Clement, Jason R. Guertin, Michael R. Law, Tara Gomes

Abstract

Background: Comprehensive data identifying trends in the pharmaceutical market are limited. Last year, our group presented the first forecast. We report the first annual update of estimated pharmaceutical drug purchases in Canada. The goal is to identify factors that may influence future spending to support public and private decision-makers in predicting the growth of national drug purchases.

Methods: We conducted a time series analysis of annual estimated pharmaceutical drug purchases across Canada between 2001 and 2021 using IQVIA’s Canadian Drugstore and Hospital Purchases Audit. We calculated total estimated pharmaceutical drug purchases and relative percentage change annually, stratified by sector (retail and hospital), and forecast annual spending to 2023. We also assessed recent drug approvals, policies, or legislation that may influence drug spending.

Results: Total drug purchases for 2021 were approximately $35.4 billion, 8.3% higher than in 2020 (7.3% growth in the retail sector; 12.4% growth in the hospital sector). Overall, total spending for the top 25 drugs accounted for 31.2% and 52.3% of total spending in the retail and hospital sectors, respectively. Spending has grown over the past 2 decades, with an annual average growth of 5.4% and 7.4% for the retail and hospital sectors, respectively. The forecast for the retail sector is continued moderate levels of growth in drug spending (7% to 8% annually), with higher rates of growth (12% to 13% annually) in the hospital setting.

Interpretation: We project continued growth in overall drug purchases across the entire Canadian market. New approvals of specialty and oncology drugs and generic formulations of the top 25 drugs are expected to influence drug purchases in 2022–2023. If no action is taken to curb sustained growth in pharmaceutical spending in Canada, costs may necessitate a shift in spending from other public budgets or to private industry and directly to patients. The opportunity cost of continued increased spending on pharmaceuticals must be considered.

Introduction

Total public health care spending in Canada was forecasted by CIHI to reach more than $308 billion in 2021, representing 12.7% of the country’s gross domestic product.1 Public spending on prescription drugs was expected to account for 6.9% ($16.5 billion) of national public health care purchases — a $1.1 billion increase compared with the 2020 projections.1 Public drug spending accounted for 44% of total drug spending in Canada in 2020.1

In 2021, our group published the first of what we aim to be an annual report highlighting spending on drugs in Canada.2 We found that between 2001 and 2020 drug spending increased on average by 5.3% annually in the retail sector and by 7.1% annually in the hospital sector, and we projected that spending was likely to continue increasing until at least 2023.2 Although drug spending has been historically driven by medications for chronic conditions, our results highlighted that biologics and biosimilars had become the key contributors to drug spending.2 Furthermore, based on the available information about novel treatments approved by Health Canada and the US FDA combined with the historical growth in spending,2-7 we projected that drug spending for the years 2021 to 2023 would increase by 3% to 4% annually in the retail sector and by 7% to 8% annually in the hospital sector.2

Budget planning for drug spending is an annual process and requires forecasting of potential growth. We aim to conduct this analysis annually to help inform decision-makers and formulary managers in developing their annual budgets and strategies. Approvals for novel pharmaceutical technologies with the potential to change budget trajectories are expected in the coming years; therefore, an annual update of both the spending forecast and a Horizon Scan are needed. External and independent assessments of drug spending across the country can help support public and private decision-makers better anticipate how various factors could influence drug spending as novel technologies driving spending are expected to continue. In this first update of our planned annual report, we present trends and forecasts of retail and in-hospital estimated pharmaceutical drug purchases across Canada. We also provide a Horizon Scan looking at new innovative drugs that could potentially change the spending trajectory.

Methods

Drug Purchases and Projection

We conducted a retrospective time series analysis of annual estimated pharmaceutical drug purchases (i.e., drug purchases) across Canada between January 1, 2001, and December 31, 2021, using IQVIA’s Canadian Drugstore and Hospital (CDH) Purchases Audit. These data estimate purchasing costs and unit volumes of all pharmaceutical products purchased by the Canadian retail and hospital sectors.8 This audit is derived from a sample of outlets within these sectors (more than one-third of retail and 86% of hospital sectors) in each province and territory, which are projected to represent total pharmaceutical purchasing at the national level using proprietary methods. We included all pharmaceutical purchasing of all dosage forms and formulations over the study period. Purchasing may be made through a wholesaler or directly from the manufacturer, and therefore may include mark-ups, but does not capture discounts and rebates. Although CDH projections will not capture any subsequent rebates or volume discounts credited to the outlets afterward, it does reflect all up-front discounts for each specific invoice. Due to the aggregated nature of the data provided, research ethics board approval was not required.

We describe total estimated pharmaceutical drug purchases across Canada annually (using calendar years) over the study period, stratified by sector (retail versus hospital). We calculated the annual growth in purchases as the relative percentage change from the previous year. We used exponential smoothing models, applying Holt’s method, to forecast annual estimated pharmaceutical drug purchases in 2022 and 2023. Costs were reported as nominal annual costs, and nominal costs were used for projection models. In a sensitivity analysis, we inflated annual costs before 2021 to 2021 values using the all-items consumer price indexes.9 Finally, we identified the 25 medications with the highest total purchases in the calendar year 2021 in the retail and hospital sectors separately.

Horizon Scan

An Environmental Scan of global and national drug spending and pipeline reports was conducted to identify therapeutic classes with potentially major impacts on pharmaceutical spending.10-13 All medications approved by Health Canada in 2021 and the first quarter of 2022, as well as generic drugs and biosimilars currently under review, were assessed for anticipated budget impacts.14 New drug approvals by the US FDA in 2021 and the first quarter of 2022 were also reviewed to identify drugs that may soon enter the Canadian market.15

Drugs with potential high impact on future spending (via upward pressure or downward pressure) were flagged based on the following criteria: disease prevalence, current medication use and availability in the therapeutic area, anticipated cost, and public plan reimbursement recommendations by CADTH. Based on the list of drugs with the highest potential for impact on the Canadian market, the authors made a consensus recommendation on whether the projected spending might be more likely on the high, middle, or low end of the projected confidence interval (CI) range estimated from the forecast analysis for the next 2 years.

Results

Trends in Canadian drug purchases from 2001 to 2021 in the retail and hospital sectors are presented in Figure 1 and Figure 2, respectively. Graphs that include values accounting for inflation can be found in Appendix 1 (Figure 4 and Figure 5).

Overall Spending

In 2021, total drug purchases in Canada grew 8.3%, reaching $35.4 billion (versus $32.7 billion in 2020). This was higher than our previous forecasted rate of 4.2%. The retail sector accounted for 84.5% of drug purchases in 2021 ($29.9 billion), and the hospital sector accounted for 15.5% ($5.5 billion). Retail and hospital purchases in 2021 increased from 2020 by 7.3% and 12.4%, respectively. The rates in both sectors were also higher than our forecasted rates of 6.9% and 3.8%, respectively. Figure 3 illustrates the trends in the annual change in purchases across both sectors.

Retail and Hospital Spending

In the retail sector, total drug purchases increased by 184%, from $10.5 billion in 2001 to $29.9 billion in 2021. In the hospital sector, total drug purchases grew 309% from $1.3 billion in 2001 to $5.5 billion in 2021. Among retail purchases, the average annual growth was higher in earlier years (6.7% between 2001 and 2011) compared with 2012 onward (4.1% between 2012 and 2021); 2011 was the only year with a decrease in annual purchases (−2.9%). Over the entire period (2001 to 2021), the average annual growth was 5.4% and 7.4% for the retail and hospital sectors, respectively.

In the hospital sector, the average annual growth was similar to the retail environment between 2001 and 2011 (6.5%) but grew quicker between 2012 and 2021 (8.4%); there was no year with a reported decrease in annual spending. The drug purchases for hospital-administered drugs grew 12.7%, 18.4%, 6.9%, and 12.4% in 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021, respectively. In comparison, drug purchases in the retail sector experienced a smaller growth of 3.4%, 5.2%, 3.8%, and 7.3% in 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021, respectively.

Figure 1: Total Estimated Pharmaceutical Drug Purchases in Canada for the Retail Sector From 2001 to 2021

Alt text: Line graph of annual purchases across Canada for the retail sector from 2001 to 2021 that highlights sustained growth over the last 21 years. This figure also highlights the projected continued growth over the next 2 years.

Note: The grey zone illustrates forecasted purchases in the retail sector (solid line) with 95% confidence interval estimates (dashed lines) for 2022 and 2023.

Source: This figure is based on information licensed from IQVIA: Canadian Drugstore and Hospital Purchases Audit for 2001 to 2021 estimates of real-world activity. All rights reserved.

Figure 2: Total Estimated Pharmaceutical Drug Purchases in Canada for the Hospital Sector From 2001 to 2021

Alt text: Line graph of annual purchases across Canada for the hospital sector from 2001 to 2021 that highlights sustained growth over the last 21 year with a sharp increase in the last 5 years. This figure also highlights the projected continued growth over the next 2 years.

Note: The grey zone illustrates forecasted purchases in the hospital sector (solid line) with 95% confidence interval estimates (dashed lines) for 2022 and 2023.

Source: This figure is based on information licensed from IQVIA: Canadian Drugstore and Hospital Purchases Audit for 2001 to 2021 estimates of real-world activity. All rights reserved.

Drug Expenditure Forecast for 2022 and 2023

We forecast a yearly increase (all sectors combined) in drug purchases of 6.2% in 2022 and 5.9% in 2023 (Figure 3). We project that purchases for hospital-administered drugs will increase annually by 9.4% and 8.8% for 2022 and 2023, respectively; in the retail setting, purchases will increase between 5.6% and 5.3% annually for 2022 and 2023, respectively. When considered in absolute costs, we forecast an increase of $33.2 billion (95% CI, $30.7 billion to $35.8 billion) for retail purchases and $6.5 billion (95% CI, $6.0 billion to $7.0 billion) for hospital purchases by 2023 (Figure 1 and Figure 2).

Figure 3: Annual Growth in Estimated Pharmaceutical Drug Purchases From the Previous Year (2002 to 2021) for the Retail and Hospital Sectors

Alt text: Bar graph of annual year-over-year growth for each sector for each year between 2002 and 2021. This figure highlights that there was annual growth every year except 1 year (2011). We anticipate that there will be continued annual growth in the next 2 years.

Note: Blue bars represent the retail sector and orange bars represent the hospital sector. The grey zone illustrates forecasted annual growth for 2022 and 2023.

Source: This figure is based on information licensed from IQVIA: Canadian Drugstore and Hospital Purchases Audit for 2001 to 2021 estimates of real-world activity. All rights reserved.

Top 25 Drugs by Overall Purchases in 2021

Table 1 provides the top 25 drugs by purchases in retail and hospital settings across the country for the year 2021. In terms of purchases, infliximab ($1.3 billion), adalimumab ($979 million), and ustekinumab ($636.3 million) were the top 3 drugs in the retail setting, whereas pembrolizumab ($518.8 million), daratumumab ($254.2 million), and nivolumab ($245.7 million) were the top 3 drugs in the hospital setting. Overall, total purchases for the top 25 drugs in both markets in 2021 accounted for $12.2 billion ($9.3 billion and $2.9 billion in the retail and hospital sectors, respectively), which accounted for 31.2% and 52.3% of total spending in each sector, respectively. Only 3 drugs were in the top 25 of both lists: a vascular endothelial growth factor-A (VEGF-A) antagonist (aflibercept: number 4 in retail spending and number 17 in hospital spending) and 2 kinase inhibitors (ibrutinib: number 13 in retail spending and number 7 in hospital spending; palbociclib: number 24 in retail spending and number 10 in hospital spending).

Table 1: Top 25 Drugs by Purchases in Retail and Hospital Settings for the Calendar Year 2021 and Trends Compared With 2020

Rank

Retail

Hospital

Drug

Total estimated pharmaceutical drug purchases in 2021

Trend from 2020

Drug

Total estimated pharmaceutical drug purchases in 2021

Trend from 2020

1

Infliximab

$1,273,113,789

Up

Pembrolizumab

$518,807,002

Up

2

Adalimumab

$978,987,507

Up

Daratumumab

$254,230,664

Up

3

Ustekinumab

$636,290,643

Up

Nivolumab

$245,654,407

Down

4

Aflibercept

$608,972,710

Up

Haemagglutinin (nonspecific)

$164,311,416

Up

5

Semaglutide

$576,044,914

Up

Rituximab

$160,022,931

Down

6

Apixaban

$410,725,793

Up

Pertuzumab: Trastuzumab

$138,664,496

Up

7

Methylphenidate

$340,706,844

Up

Ibrutinib

$120,818,606

Up

8

Ranibizumab

$325,530,299

Up

Trastuzumab

$110,287,917

Down

9

Empagliflozin

$320,537,190

Up

Durvalumab

$106,020,619

Up

10

Metformin: sitagliptin

$317,062,227

Down

Palbociclib

$92,539,410

Up

11

Rivaroxaban

$290,607,683

Up

Bevacizumab

$90,680,807

Down

12

Lisdexamfetamine

$288,792,626

Up

Vaccine, pneumococcal conjugate

$88,725,538

Up

13

Ibrutinib

$275,252,945

Up

Osimertinib

$82,691,346

Up

14

Vedolizumab

$274,476,001

Up

Ipilimumab

$73,638,520

Up

15

Etanercept

$268,976,817

Down

Darbepoetin alfa

$71,675,858

Up

16

Budesonide: formoterol

$251,975,825

Down

Nusinersen

$62,287,791

Down

17

Paliperidone palmitate

$234,005,797

Up

Aflibercept

$61,455,247

Up

18

Rosuvastatin

$233,956,220

Up

Erythropoietin alpha

$60,796,021

Down

19

Golimumab

$231,374,597

Up

Trastuzumab emtansine

$59,868,119

20

Insulin glargine

$224,952,661

Down

Alteplase

$59,159,609

Up

21

Sofosbuvir: velpatasvir

$219,433,495

Down

Vaccine, HPV types 6, 11, 16, 18, 3

$56,676,885

Down

22

Sitagliptin

$200,224,171

Down

Vaccine, rotavirus

$54,616,577

Up

23

Denosumab

$186,499,982

Bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide

$51,108,504

24

Palbociclib

$180,998,587

Antipoliomyelitic vaccine, diphtheria toxoid, Haemophilus influenzae B, pertussis, and tetanus purified toxoid

$49,942,835

25

Ocrelizumab

$178,010,209

Enoxaparin

$40,336,899

Total of top 25

$9,327,509,532

$2,875,018,024

Total 2021 spending

$29,877,770,437

$5,498,567,931

Top 25% of total

31.20%

52.30%

Note: The drugs with a dash are new entries to the top 25 drugs in 2021.

Source: This table is based on information licensed from IQVIA: Canadian Drugstore and Hospital Purchases Audit for 2001 to 2021 estimates of real-world activity. All rights reserved.

Horizon Scan

Fifteen global reports were reviewed to determine trends for drug spending in Canada (Appendix 1, Table 3). In Table 2, we present the drugs that are anticipated to have the most impact on drug purchases in 2022 and 2023. Here, we summarize major themes for new and upcoming therapies in Canada. We first highlight treatments we believe will have the largest impact on increased spending (“upward pressure”) then discuss potential mitigating factors (“downward pressure”). A complete list of drug approvals for Health Canada and the US FDA in 2021 and the first quarter of 2022 are presented in Table 4, and Table 5, respectively. The FDA approved 50 novel drugs in 2021 compared with 53 in 2020.7 Health Canada approved 78 drugs in 2021 compared with 84 new drugs in 2020, of which 40 were novel drugs.16

Table 2: Selected Drugs and Biologicals That Received Health Canada and/or FDA Approval in 2021 and Early 2022 and Are Expected to Affect Drug Spending

Category

Drug

Brand name or reference product

Indication

Health Canada approval date

FDA approved

Diabetes

Insulin aspart biosimilar

Kirsty and Trurapi (for NovoRapid)

Diabetes

October 2021

No

Insulin lispro biosimilar

Lyumjev, Liprelog, and Admelog (for Humalog)

Diabetes

January 2021

Lyumjev: yes

Liprelog: no

Admelog: yes

Canagliflozin, dapagliflozin, empagliflozin, combinations generics

NA

SGLT2 inhibitors for diabetes with additional indications (established cardiovascular disease, nephropathy, heart failure)

Under review

No (tentative approval)

Sitagliptin, linagliptin, combinations generics

NA

DPP-4 inhibitors for diabetes

Under review

No (tentative approval)

Liraglutide generic

NA

GLP-1 receptor agonist for diabetes and established cardiovascular disease

Under review

No

Weight management

Semaglutide

Wegovy

GLP-1 receptor agonist for chronic weight management in adults

November 2021

Yes

Liraglutide

Saxenda

GLP-1 receptor agonist for chronic weight management in adolescents aged 12 and older

February 2021

Yes

Migraine

Eptinezumab

Vyepti

CGRP antagonist for prevention of migraine

January 2021

Yes

Lasmiditan

Reyvow

5-HT1F receptor agonist for the treatment of acute migraine

Not under review

Yes

Cystic fibrosis

Elexacaftor, ivacaftor, tezacaftor

Trikafta

Cystic fibrosis with F508del mutation in adolescents and adults 12 years and older

June 2021

Yes

HIV

Abacavir, dolutegravir, and lamivudine generic

NA

HIV

Under review

No

Dolutegravir generic

NA

HIV

Under review

No (tentative approval)

Emtricitabine, rilpivirine, and tenofovir alafenamide generic

NA

HIV

Under review

No

Macular degeneration

Ranibizumab biosimilar

Byooviz (for Lucentis)

Age-related macular degeneration, diabetic macular edema, diabetic retinopathy

March 2022

Yes

ALS

Sodium phenylbutyrate and ursodoxicoltaurine

Albrioza

ALS

Under review

No

Spinal muscular atrophy

Risdiplam

Evrysdi

SMA, infants aged 2 months and older up to adults aged 25 years

April 2021

Yes

Anticoagulant

Apixaban generic

NA

Prevention and treatment of VTE, prevention of stroke in atrial fibrillation

Under review

No

Immune diseases

Tofacitinib generic

NA

JAK inhibitor for rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, ulcerative colitis

Under review

No (tentative approval)

Adalimumab, multiple biosimilars

NA

Multiple indications (e.g., rheumatoid arthritis, Crohn disease, ulcerative colitis)

2021

Yes

Multiple sclerosis

Teriflunomide generic

NA

Relapsing remitting MS

May 2022

Yes

Ofatumumab

Kesimpta

Relapsing remitting MS

January 2021

Yes

Ponesimod

Ponvory

Relapsing remitting MS

April 2021

Yes

Diroximel fumarate

Vumerity

Relapsing remitting MS

Not under review

Yes

Schizophrenia

Paliperidone long-acting injection generic

NA

Schizophrenia and related psychotic disorders

Under review

Yes

Oncology

Brexucabtagene autoleucel

Tecartus

CAR T-cell therapy for relapsed or refractory mantle cell lymphoma

June 2021

Yes

Ciltacabtagene autoleucel

Carvykti

CAR T-cell therapy for relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma

Under review

Yes

Encorafenib

Braftovi

Additional indication of metastatic colorectal cancer

March 2021

Yes

Trastuzumab deruxtecan

Enhertu

Unresectable or metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer after treatment with trastuzumab emtansine

April 2021

Yes

Daratumumab

Darzalex

Additional indications in multiple myeloma and amyloidosis

April 2021

Yes

Sacituzumab govitecan

Trodelvy

Advanced or metastatic triple negative breast cancer

September 2021

Yes

Isatuximab

Sarclisa

Relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma

September 2021

Yes

Venetoclax

Venclexta

Additional indications for first-line CML and AML

January 2021

Yes

Selinexor

Xpovio

First oral selective inhibitor of nuclear export for multiple myeloma

Under review

Yes

Ibrutinib generic

Imbruvica

Multiple indications

Under review

Yes

Carfilzomib generic

Kyprolis

Relapsed multiple myeloma

Under review

Yes

Pomalidomide generic

Pomalyst

Relapsed multiple myeloma

Under review

Yes

ALS = amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; AML = acute myeloid leukemia; CAR = chimeric antigen receptor; CGRP = calcitonin gene-related peptide; CML = chronic myelogenous leukemia; DPP-4 = dipeptidyl peptidase-4; GLP-1 = glucagon-like peptide-1; MS = multiple sclerosis; NA = not applicable; SGLT2 = sodium-glucose cotransporter-2; SMA = spinal muscular atrophy; VTE = venous thromboembolism.

Potential for Upward Pressure

In oncology, chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapies are anticipated to make the largest impact on spending. A new CAR T-cell therapy was recently approved for the treatment of mantle cell lymphoma, and another is under review by Health Canada for multiple myeloma, a relatively common cancer. Daratumumab (Darzalex) is the number 2 ranked drug in the hospital sector, and purchases have increased over the past 2 years. It will likely impact spending even more in coming years because it has now been approved for additional indications of multiple myeloma and amyloidosis therapy.

Certain therapeutic areas are likely to increase spending due to the prevalence of these conditions in the Canadian population. Drugs for migraine treatment continue to increase drug spending as the new calcitonin gene-related peptide inhibitors take over a higher market share for the prevention of chronic migraine. Lasmiditan (Reyvow), a first-in-class medication indicated for acute treatment of migraine that was approved by the FDA in 2019, is not yet under review by Health Canada. Semaglutide (Wegovy), the number 5 ranked drug in the retail sector, has been approved for chronic weight management in adults and is currently under review by CADTH for this indication. Liraglutide (Saxenda) has an expanded indication for weight management in adolescents 12 years and older; however, CADTH did not recommend reimbursement by public plans. New medications for multiple sclerosis continue to be approved, such as ofatumumab (a once-monthly injection) and ponesimod, both of which are expected to increase the cost of treatment overall. Of note, ocrelizumab, which is a treatment for multiple sclerosis that is infused every 6 months, is a new addition to the top 25 in retail spending this year. Finally, aducanumab (Aduhelm) received FDA approval for the treatment of Alzheimer disease in 2021. Approximately 76,000 Canadians are diagnosed with dementia each year,17 and aducanumab costs approximately US$28,000 annually. The medication is presently under review by Health Canada, but it remains unclear whether it will be approved and funded in Canada.

For rare diseases, the increasing number of therapies with high price tags are expected to drive costs, particularly in diseases that previously had no or few treatment options available. Notable examples include sodium phenylbutyrate and ursodoxicoltaurine for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and risdiplam for spinal muscular atrophy. In addition, elexacaftor, ivacaftor, and tezacaftor (Trikafta) was approved in 2021 for cystic fibrosis and received a positive recommendation for reimbursement by CADTH for adults and adolescents aged 12 years and older. Trikafta received an expanded indication for pediatric patients aged 6 years and older in 2022 and another positive recommendation to reimburse by CADTH, indicating continued growth for this product.

Potential for Downward Pressure

A limited number of approved or upcoming generic medications and biosimilars have been identified as having the potential to exert downward pressure on drug spending. In oncology, 2 new generic medications have been approved for multiple myeloma (carfilzomib and pomalidomide) and are expected to have an impact. Generic ibrutinib may impact both retail (ranked number 13) and hospital (ranked number 7) spending, but savings will be partially blunted by the expected replacement with a new kinase inhibitor, zanubrutinib. Among medications for diabetes, insulin aspart and lispro have new biosimilar market entries to join Trurapi (insulin aspart biosimilar for NovoRapid) and Admelog (insulin lispro biosimilar for Humalog), which could lead to reduced spending on insulin.18 Furthermore, several generic drugs in the sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitor, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitor, and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist classes are under review and expected to significantly decrease costs for diabetes treatment overall. Although several generic antiretroviral products for HIV are also under review, it is anticipated the abacavir, dolutegravir, and lamivudine combination will exert the highest impact because it is 1 of the recommended initial therapies in HIV treatment guidelines.19 Based on market share, generic apixaban (number 6 in retail spending) for venous thromboembolism and generic tofacitinib for immune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis and ulcerative colitis will likely reduce costs. Finally, the first market entry for a ranibizumab biosimilar (number 8) and the availability of several adalimumab biosimilars (number 2) are expected to decrease spending substantially in the retail sector.20

Interpretation

Spending on pharmaceuticals has grown considerably over the past 2 decades in Canada, leading to a total market size of more than $35 billion in 2021. In 2021, the annual growth compared to the previous year in spending reached 7.3% for retail drug purchases and 12.4% for hospital drug purchases, far surpassing growth rates seen the year prior and our previous forecast in 2021. This is particularly apparent in the retail sector where the annual growth in spending between 2020 and 2021 was higher than has been observed for the past decade. This expansion is likely driven by new product approvals, higher market entry prices for new drugs, and growing utilization. Thus, we anticipate continued increases in the retail sector combined with accelerated growth in the hospital sector, leading to projected total annual drug purchases nearing $40 billion by 2023. Importantly, the anticipated growth in the number of new therapies and associated costs will continue to put pressure on constrained government budgets across the country, leading to a need for strategies that balance access to novel therapeutics against limited resources.

It is expected that the pressure from growth in the available therapies identified in the pipeline are likely to continue to affect the degree of change in spending in the coming years. We did note fewer approvals in comparison to 2021, which was a record-breaking year. Overall, we believe the growth in spending will be on the lower end of the predicted range in the outpatient retail setting due to the introduction of new generics or biosimilar formulations for several top 25 therapies, including adalimumab, ranibizumab, 2 direct oral anticoagulants, DPP-4 inhibitors, SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 agonists, and insulin biosimilars. However, much of the effect of biosimilars will depend on their uptake in Canada. Presently, most Canadian provincial public drug plans require biologic-naive patients to initiate a biosimilar formulation, and half of these drug plans have introduced mandatory non-medical biosimilar switching policies over the past several years.21 If a large province, such as Ontario, implemented similar policies, we anticipate this would have a large effect on total national spending projections. Finally, despite this downward pressure, diabetes therapies have particular potential to be “blockbuster” retail pharmacy drugs due to the high prevalence of diabetes and the expanded scope of many diabetes drugs to include weight loss. Therefore, it will be important to monitor the ongoing use of these medications to ensure appropriate use and manage spending.22

Importantly, the validity of our projections remains uncertain since they were mostly based on data collected before the COVID-19 pandemic. This also explains why our current projections for 2023 are higher than our previous forecast. The pandemic has substantially impacted health care across the country, including drug spending. For example, at the time of publishing our first report, only 1 treatment, remdesivir, was approved by Health Canada and the FDA for a COVID-19 indication but spending on this drug had yet to occur. Since then, many treatments, including a series of COVID-19 vaccines, were not only developed but are approved and being used across the country. Spending on these new treatments may dramatically increase drug spending across Canada, maybe even beyond the upper bound of our projections for 2022 and 2023. However, other factors directly and indirectly related to the COVID-19 pandemic may have the opposite impact. The second, third, fourth, and fifth waves of COVID-19 have caused various levels of delayed treatments within hospitals across the country and have led to reduced screening of chronic conditions and cancers, potentially reducing the use of health care resources, including pharmaceuticals, at least in the short-term. We did observe that 16 of the top 25 drugs experienced expansion in their total purchases compared with last years’ report in 2020.

Our analysis has limitations that warrant discussion. First, we do not have information on the rebates that manufacturers provide to public and private drug plans or hospital purchasers because these contracts are kept confidential. These discounts can be sizable — for example, pan-Canadian Pharmaceutical Alliance (pCPA) negotiations yielded $1.24billion in savings in 2017–2018.23 However, our results still represent the total purchases in the current drug system, and we do not anticipate major differences in the proportion of rebates to total purchases in recent years. The purchase prices do account for up-front discounts. Rebates are also re-invested to pay for future drug spending and thus are paid forward in spending. Additionally, rising prices have important consequences on patient co-pays depending on payment method and plan structure.24 Second, our data had no information on payers (i.e., public insurance, private insurance, or out-of-pocket) and thus only characterizes global spending in Canada and the future impact for all payers.

Conclusion

Overall pharmaceutical drug purchases in Canada for 2021 were higher than our predicted increases in our previous report. This was for both the retail and hospital sectors and was caused by the combined impact of higher utilization and higher prices for new therapies. Because the nature of drugs is driving the change, there is a continued need for rigorous assessment and price negotiation by public payers to ensure these investments represent good value for money. We project continued growth in overall drug purchases across the entire Canadian market. Specifically, the forecast for the retail sector is continued moderate levels of growth in drug spending (7% to 8% annually), with higher rates of growth (12% to 13% annually) in the hospital setting.

References

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Appendix 1: Additional Figures and Tables

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

Figure 4: Total Estimated Pharmaceutical Drug Purchases in Canada for the Retail Sector From 2001 to 2021

Alt text: Adjusted line graph related to Figure 1 for annual purchases in the retail sector that adjusts for inflation. The results are similar to those of Figure 1.

Note: The grey zone illustrates forecasted purchases in the retail sector (solid line) with 95% confidence interval estimates (dashed lines) for 2022 and 2023. Blue line with circles = non–inflated-adjusted purchases; orange line with triangles = inflated-adjusted purchases.

Source: This figure is based on information licensed from IQVIA: Canadian Drugstore and Hospital Purchases Audit for the period of 2001 to 2021 estimates of real-world activity. All rights reserved.

Figure 5: Total Estimated Pharmaceutical Drug Purchases in Canada for the Hospital Sector From 2001 to 2021

Alt text: Adjusted line graph related to Figure 2 for annual purchases in the hospital sector that adjusts for inflation. The results are similar to those of Figure 2.

Note: The grey zone illustrates forecasted purchases in the hospital sector (solid line) with 95% confidence interval estimates (dashed lines) for the years 2022 and 2023. Red line with circles = non–inflated-adjusted purchases; light blue line with triangles = inflated-adjusted purchases.

Source: This figure is based on information licensed from IQVIA: Canadian Drugstore and Hospital Purchases Audit for the period of 2001 to 2021 estimates of real-world activity. All rights reserved.

Table 3: Fifteen Global Reports Reviewed to Determine Trends for Drug Spending in Canada

Report

Link

Advancing Health Through Innovation: New Drug Therapy Approvals 2021

Advancing Health Through Innovation: New Drug Therapy Approvals 2021 (fda.gov)

2022 Drug Plan Trends Report: High-cost drugs, DEI shaping drug plans

2022 Drug Plan Trends Report: High-cost drugs, DEI shaping drug plans | Benefits Canada.com

Biosimilars approved in Canada February 2022

Biosimilars approved in Canada (smartbiggar.ca)

CADTH Policy Intel

2021 US FDA New Drug Therapy Approvals: A Summary

Not available

2022 Biosimilars Report: The US Journey and Path Ahead

2022 Biosimilars Report (cardinalhealth.com)

2022 Prescription Drug Trend Report

ExpressScriptsCanada2022DrugTrendReport.pdf (express-scripts.ca)

Drug and Medical Device Highlights, 2020

drug-medical-device-highlights-2020.pdf (canada.ca)

Global Trends in R&D Overview Through 2021

Global Trends in R&D 2022 - IQVIA

2021 Category watch: The Impact of New Drugs. A closer look at diabetes, migraine and multiple sclerosis

Category watch: The impact of new drugs (telushealth.co)

2021 TELUS Health Drug Data Trends and National Benchmarks

https://www.healthrisk.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/2021-Drug-Data-Trends-and-National-Benchmarks-Report.pdf

The Drug Pipeline: What private plans can expect in 2021

Drug Pipeline Report - Spring 2021 (telushealth.co)

Table 4: Health Canada Drug Approvals Between January 1, 2021, and March 31, 2022

Generic name

Therapeutic area

Approval date

Submission outcome

Acetylsalicylic acid, atorvastatin calcium, ramipril

Cardiac therapy

March 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Ad26.COV2.S (recombinant)

Vaccines

November 2021

Issued NOC

Adalimumab

Immunosuppressants

January 2022

Issued NOC

Adalimumab

Immunosuppressants

December 2021

Issued NOC

Adalimumab

Immunosuppressants

January 2021

Issued NOC

Alfa 1-proteinase inhibitor (human)

Antihemorrhagics

November 2021

Issued NOC

Amifampridine

Other nervous system drugs

June 2021

NOC invalid

Amisulpride

Psycholeptics

February 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Amivantamab

Antineoplastic agents

March 2022

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Anifrolumab

Immunosuppressants

November 2021

Issued NOC

Aprotinin

Antihemorrhagics

February 2022

Cancelled by sponsor

Avalglucosidase alfa

Other alimentary tract and metabolism

November 2021

Issued NOC

Avanafil

Urologicals

October 2021

Issued Notice of Non-compliance - Withdrawal

Azacitidine

Antineoplastic agents

January 2021

Issued NOC

Belumosudil mesylate

Immunosuppressants

March 2022

Issued NOC

Bendamustine hydrochloride

Antineoplastic agents

January 2022

Issued NOC

Bevacizumab

Antineoplastic agents

November 2021

Issued NOC

Bevacizumab

Antineoplastic agents

November 2021

Issued NOC

Bevacizumab

Antineoplastic agents

November 2021

Issued NOC

Bevacizumab

Antineoplastic agents

September 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Bevacizumab

Antineoplastic agents

September 2021

Issued NOC

Bevacizumab

Antineoplastic agents

January 2021

Issued NOC

Bimekizumab

Immunosuppressants

February 2022

Issued NOC

Binimetinib

Antineoplastic agents

March 2021

Issued NOC

Brexucabtagene autoleucel

Antineoplastic agents

June 2021

Issued NOC

Brilliant blue G

Ophthalmologicals

January 2021

Issued NOC

Budesonide, formoterol fumarate dihydrate, glycopyrronium bromide

Drugs for obstructive airway diseases

July 2021

Issued NOC

Bupivacaine

Anesthetics

August 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Bupivacaine, meloxicam

Anti-inflammatory and antirheumatic products

March 2022

Issued NOC

ChAdOx1-S (recombinant)

Vaccines

November 2021

Issued NOC

Chlormethine

Antineoplastic agents

June 2021

Issued NOC

Colchicine

Antigout preparations

August 2021

Issued NOC

Copanlisib dihydrochloride

Antineoplastic agents

December 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Corynebacterium diphtheria CRM-197 protein, pneumococcal polysaccharide serotypes 1, 3, 4, 5, 6A, 6B, 7F, 9V, 14, 18C, 19A, 19F, 22F, 23F, and 33F

Vaccines

November 2021

Issued NOC

Cyclosporine

Ophthalmologicals

February 2021

Issued NOC

Cytarabine, daunorubicin hydrochloride

Antineoplastic agents

April 2021

Issued NOC

Dequalinium chloride

Gynecological anti-infectives and antiseptics

July 2021

Issued NOC

Diamorphine hydrochloride

Other nervous system drugs

February 2022

Issued NOC

Dostarlimab

Antineoplastic agents

December 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Drospirenone

Sex hormones and modulators of the genital system

November 2021

Issued NOC

Drospirenone, estetrol monohydrate

Sex hormones and modulators of the genital system

March 2021

Issued NOC

Elasomeran

Vaccines

September 2021

Issued NOC

Elexacaftor, ivacaftor, tezacaftor

Other respiratory system products

June 2021

Issued NOC

Emapalumab

Immunosuppressants

February 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Encorafenib

Antineoplastic agents

March 2021

Issued NOC

Encorafenib

Antineoplastic agents

March 2021

Issued NOC

Enfortumab vedotin

Antineoplastic agents

October 2021

Issued NOC

Eptinezumab

Analgesics

January 2021

Issued NOC

Favipiravir

Antivirals for systemic use

February 2022

Cancelled by sponsor

Ferric pyrophosphate citrate

Antianemic preparations

April 2021

Issued NOC

Fibrinogen (human), thrombin (human)

Antihemorrhagics

March 2021

Issued NOC

Filgotinib

Immunosuppressants

January 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Filgrastim (r-metHuG-CSF)

Immunostimulants

October 2021

Issued NOC

Finerenone

Diuretics

October 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Fostemsavir tromethamine

Antivirals for systemic use

October 2021

Issued NOC

Gallium oxodotreotide

Diagnostic radiopharmaceuticals

February 2022

Issued NOC

Goserelin acetate

Endocrine therapy

October 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Haemagglutinin, neuraminidase antigen

Vaccines

January 2021

Issued NOC

Hyaluronidase (human recombinant), immunoglobulin (human),

Immune sera and immunoglobulins

January 2022

Issued NOC

Idecabtagene vicleucel

Antineoplastic agents

May 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Inclisiran sodium

Lipid modifying agents

July 2021

Issued NOC

Infigratinib phosphate

Antineoplastic agents

September 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Infliximab

Immunosuppressants

December 2021

Issued NOC

Insulin aspart

Drugs used in diabetes

October 2021

Issued NOC

Insulin lispro

Drugs used in diabetes

September 2021

Issued NOC

Lasmiditan

Analgesics

January 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Leuprolide mesylate

Endocrine therapy

November 2021

Issued NOC

Lumasiran

Other alimentary tract and metabolism products

March 2022

Issued NOC

Lurbinectedin

Antineoplastic agents

September 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Luspatercept

Antianemic preparations

February 2021

Issued NOC

Macitentan, tadalafil

Antihypertensives

October 2021

Issued NOC

Mesalazine

Antidiarrheals, intestinal anti-inflammatory/anti-infective agents

January 2022

Issued NOC

Mesalazine

Antidiarrheals, intestinal anti-inflammatory/anti-infective agents

May 2021

Issued NOC

Methylene blue

Diagnostic agents

May 2021

Issued Notice of Non-compliance - Withdrawal

Nirmatrelvir, ritonavir

Antivirals for systemic use

January 2022

Issued NOC

Ofatumumab

Antineoplastic agents

January 2021

Issued NOC

Ospemifene

Sex hormones and modulators of the genital system

July 2021

Issued NOC

Palovarotene

Other drugs for disorders of the musculoskeletal system

January 2022

Issued NOC

Pegfilgrastim

Immunostimulants

July 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Pegvaliase

Other alimentary tract and metabolism products

March 2022

Issued NOC

Pemigatinib

Antineoplastic agents

September 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Pertuzumab, trastuzumab

Antineoplastic agents

March 2021

Issued NOC

Pitolisant

Other nervous system drugs

May 2021

Issued NOC

Ponesimod

Immunosuppressants

April 2021

Issued NOC

Pralsetinib

Antineoplastic agents

June 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Progesterone

Sex hormones and modulators of the genital system

April 2021

Issued NOC

Ranibizumab

Ophthalmologicals

March 2022

Issued NOC

Recombinant haemagglutinin-strain A (H1N1) virus-like particles, Recombinant haemagglutinin-strain A (H3N2) virus-like particles, Recombinant haemagglutinin-strain B (Victoria lineage) virus-like particles, Recombinant haemagglutinin-strain B (Yamagata lineage) virus-like particles

Vaccines

September 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Recombinant influenza strain A H1N1 HA protein, recombinant influenza strain A H3N2 HA protein, recombinant influenza strain B (Victoria lineage) HA protein, recombinant influenza strain B (Yamagata lineage) HA protein

Vaccines

January 2021

Issued NOC

Risdiplam

Other drugs for disorders of the musculoskeletal system

April 2021

Issued NOC

Rituximab

Antineoplastic agents

March 2021

Issued NOC

Roxadustat

Antianemic preparations

October 2021

Cancelled by sponsor

Sacituzumab govitecan

Antineoplastic agents

September 2021

Issued NOC

SARS-CoV-2 recombinant spike protein

Vaccines

February 2022

Issued NOC

Selpercatinib

Antineoplastic agents

June 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Semaglutide

Drugs used in diabetes

November 2021

Issued NOC

Solriamfetol hydrochloride

Psychoanaleptics

May 2021

Issued NOC

Somatrogon

Pituitary, hypothalamic hormones, and analogues

October 2021

Issued NOC

Sotorasib

Antineoplastic agents

September 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Tafamidis

Other nervous system drugs

July 2021

Issued NOC

Tafasitamab

Antineoplastic agents

August 2021

Issued NOC

Tazarotene

Antipsoriatics

July 2021

Issued NOC

Tecovirimat monohydrate

Antivirals for systemic use

November 2021

Issued NOC

Tepotinib

Antineoplastic agents

May 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Tildrakizumab

Immunosuppressants

May 2021

Issued NOC

Tozinameran

Vaccines

September 2021

Issued NOC

Tralokinumab

Other dermatological preparations

October 2021

Issued NOC

Trastuzumab

Antineoplastic agents

January 2022

Issued NOC

Trastuzumab deruxtecan

Antineoplastic agents

April 2021

Issued NOC under the NOC/c Guidance

Treosulfan

Antineoplastic agents

June 2021

Issued NOC

Treosulfan

Antineoplastic agents

June 2021

Issued a Notice of Deficiency - Withdrawal

Trientine hydrochloride

All other therapeutic products

April 2021

Issued NOC

Triheptanoin

Other alimentary tract and metabolism

February 2021

Issued NOC

Virus-like particles (VLP) of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein

Vaccines

February 2022

Issued NOC

Vitamin D3

Vitamins

February 2021

Issued NOC

Vitamin K1

Antihemorrhagics

June 2021

Issued a Notice of Deficiency - Withdrawal

Zanubrutinib

Antineoplastic agents

July 2021

Issued NOC

Zanubrutinib

Antineoplastic agents

March 2021

Issued NOC

Table 5: FDA Drug Approvals Between January 1, 2021, and March 31, 2022

Generic name

Brand name

Indication

Sponsor

Approval date

Abacavir sulphate; dolutegravir sodium; lamivudine

Triumeq PD

HIV

Viiv Hlthcare

March 30, 2022

Abrocitinib

Cibinqo

Atopic dermatitis

Pfizer

January 14, 2022

Acetaminophen

Acetaminophen

Pain

Rising

January 15, 2021

Acetaminophen

Acetaminophen

Pain

B Braun Medical Inc.

February 18, 2021

Aducanumab-AVWA

Aduhelmbla

Alzheimer disease

Biogen Inc.

June 7, 2021

Amifampridine

Ruzurgi

Congenital myasthenic syndromes, Lambert–Eaton myasthenic syndrome

Jacobus Pharm Co Inc.

February 1, 2022

Amivantamab-VMJW

Rybrevant

Non–small cell lung cancer

Janssen Biotech

May 21, 2021

Amlodipine besylate

Norliqva

Multiple indications

Cmp Dev Llc

February 24, 2022

Amphetamine; amphetamine aspartate/ dextroamphetamine sulphate

Dyanavel XR 10

Attention deficit disorder

Tris Pharma Inc.

November 4, 2021

Amphetamine; amphetamine aspartate/ dextroamphetamine sulphate

Dyanavel XR 15

Attention deficit disorder

Tris Pharma Inc.

November 4, 2021

Amphetamine; amphetamine aspartate/ dextroamphetamine sulphate

Dyanavel XR 20

Attention deficit disorder

Tris Pharma Inc.

November 4, 2021

Amphetamine; amphetamine aspartate/ dextroamphetamine sulphate

Dyanavel XR 5

Attention deficit disorder

Tris Pharma Inc.

November 4, 2021

Anifrolumab-FNIA

Saphnelo

Lupus

Astrazeneca Ab

July 30, 2021

Argatroban

Argatroban in sodium chloride

Thrombocytopenia

Accord Hlthcare

June 7, 2021

Asciminib hydrochloride

Scemblix

Oncology

Novartis

October 29, 2021

Asparaginase erwinia chrysanthemi (recombinant)-RYWN

Rylaze

Oncology

Jazz Pharms

June 30, 2021

Atogepant

Qulipta

Migraine prevention

Abbvie Inc.

September 28, 2021

Atropine sulphate

Atropine

Multiple indications

Paragon Bioteck

March 15, 2022

Avacopan

Tavneos

Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic autoantibody-associated vasculitis

Chemocentryx

October 7, 2021

Avalglucosidase alfa-NGPT

Nexviazyme

Late-onset Pompe disease

Genzyme Corp

August 6, 2021

Azelastine hydrochloride

Astepro Allergy

Allergy

Bayer Hlthcare

June 17, 2021

Azelastine hydrochloride

Children's Astepro Allergy

Allergy

Bayer Hlthcare

June 17, 2021

Baclofen

Lyvispah

Muscle relaxant

Saol Theraps Res Ltd.

November 22, 2021

Baclofen

Fleqsuvy

Muscle relaxant

Azurity

February 4, 2022

Belumosudil mesylate

Rezurock

Chronic graft vs. host disease

Kadmon Pharms Llc

July 16, 2021

Belzutifan

Welireg

Von Hippel–Lindau disease-associated renal cell carcinoma

Merck Sharp Dohme

August 13, 2021

Bendamustine hydrochloride

Bendamustine

Oncology

Dr Reddys Labs Ltd.

November 12, 2021

Bendamustine hydrochloride

Vivimusta

Oncology

Slayback Pharma Llc

March 16, 2022

Benzoyl peroxide; tretinoin

Twyneo

Acne

Sol-Gel Technologies

July 26, 2021

Bortezomib

Bortezomib

Multiple myeloma

Intas Pharms USA

August 20, 2021

Brincidofovir

Tembexa

Smallpox

Chimerix

June 4, 2021

Brincidofovir

Tembexa

Smallpox

Chimerix

June 4, 2021

Budesonide

Tarpeyo

Steroid

Calliditas

December 15, 2021

Bupivacaine

Posimir

Multiple indications

Durect

February 1, 2021

Bupivacaine; meloxicam

Zynrelef

Postsurgical pain

Heron Theraps Inc.

May 12, 2021

Cabazitaxel

Cabazitaxel

Oncology

Accord Hlthcare

December 29, 2021

Cabotegravir

Apretude

HIV

Viiv Hlthcare

December 20, 2021

Cabotegravir sodium

Vocabria

Long-acting HIV

Viiv Hlthcare

January 21, 2021

Cabotegravir; rilpivirine

Cabenuva kit

Long-acting HIV

Viiv Hlthcare

January 21, 2021

Carbidopa; levodopa

Dhivy

Parkinson disease

Avion Pharms

November 12, 2021

Carbon dioxide

Carbon dioxide

Multiple indications

Middlesex Gases Technologies, Inc.

October 18, 2021

Carbon dioxide

Carbon

Multiple indications

Continental Carbonic Products, Inc.

February 25, 2022

Casimersen

Amondys

Duchenne muscular dystrophy

Sarepta Theraps Inc.

February 25, 2021

Celecoxib; tramadol hydrochloride

Seglentis

Pain

Kowa Pharms

October 15, 2021

Citalopram hydrobromide

Citalopram

Multiple indications

Almatica

January 31, 2022

Clindamycin phosphate

Xaciato

Antibiotic

Dare

December 7, 2021

Cyclophosphamide

Cyclophosphamide

Oncology

Eugia Pharma Speclts

August 25, 2021

Cyclosporine

Verkazia

Immunosuppressant

Santen

June 23, 2021

Dabigatran etexilate mesylate

Pradaxa

Anticoagulant

Boehringer Ingelheim

June 21, 2021

Daptomycin

Daptomycin

Antibiotic

Hospira Inc.

June 21, 2021

Daptomycin

Dapzura Rt

Antibiotic

Baxter Hlthcare Corp

January 25, 2022

Daridorexant hydrochloride

Quviviq

Insomnia

Idorsia Pharmaceuticals Ltd.

January 7, 2022

Dasiglucagon hydrochloride

Zegalogue

Severe hypoglycemia

Zealand Pharma

March 22, 2021

Dasiglucagon hydrochloride

Zegalogue (autoinjector)

Severe hypoglycemia

Zealand Pharma

March 22, 2021

Dexmethylphenidate hydrochloride; serdexmethylphenidate chloride

Azstarys

Attention deficit disorder

Commave Therap

March 2, 2021

Dextroamphetamine

Xelstrym

Attention deficit disorder

Noven Pharms Inc.

March 22, 2022

Difelikefalin acetate

Korsuva

Itching in chronic kidney disease

Cara Therap

August 23, 2021

Dihydroergotamine mesylate

Trudhesa

Migraine

Impel Neuropharma

September 2, 2021

Diltiazem hydrochloride

Diltiazem hydrochloride in dextrose 5%

Multiple indications

Exela Pharma

October 28, 2021

Dolutegravir lamivudine tenofovir alafenamide

Dolutegravir lamivudine tenofovir alafenamide

HIV

Cipla Usa Inc.

March 30, 2022

Dolutegravir sodium

Dolutegravir

HIV

Macleods Pharms Ltd.

March 16, 2021

Dolutegravir; lamivudine; tenofovir disoproxil fumarate

Dolutegravir, lamivudine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate

HIV

Lupin Pharms

June 25, 2021

Donepezil hydrochloride

Adlarity

Alzheimer disease

Corium

March 11, 2022

Dostarlimab-GXLY

Jemperlibla

Endometrial cancer

Glaxosmithkline

April 22, 2021

Dostarlimab-GXLY

Jemperli

Oncology

Glaxosmithkline Llc

August 17, 2021

Drospirenone; estetrol

Nextstellis

Oral contraceptive

Mayne Pharma

April 15, 2021

Efgartigimod alfa

Vyvgart

Generalized myasthenia gravis

Argenx Bv

December 17, 2021

Ephedrine hydrochloride

Rezipres

Multiple indications

Eton

June 14, 2021

Estradiol; norethindrone acetate; relugolix

Myfembree

Heavy menstrual bleeding due to fibroids

Myovant Sciences

May 26, 2021

Evinacumab-DGNB

Evkeeza

Homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals

February 11, 2021

Ezetimibe; rosuvastatin calcium

Roszet

Hyperlipidemia

Althera Pharms

March 23, 2021

Faricimab-SVOA

Vabysmobla

Neovascular (Wet) age-related macular degeneration, diabetic macular edema

Genentech Inc.

January 28, 2022

Fexinidazole

Fexinidazole

Trypanosoma brucei gambiense sleeping sickness

Sanofi

July 16, 2021

Filgrastim-AYOW

Releukobla

Neutropenia

Kashiv Biosciences Llc

February 25, 2022

Finasteride; tadalafil

Entadfi

Benign prostatic hypertrophy

Veru

December 9, 2021

Finerenone

Kerendia

Chronic kidney disease

Bayer Hlthcare

July 9, 2021

Fingolimod lauryl sulphate

Tascenso ODT

Multiple sclerosis

Handa

October 18, 2021

Fosdenopterin hydrobromide

Nulibry

Molybdenum cofactor deficiency type A

Origin

February 26, 2021

Gallium GA-68 gozetotide

Locametz

Diagnostic agent for prostate cancer

Aaa Usa Novartis

March 23, 2022

Ganaxolone

Ztalmy

Cyclin-dependent kinase-like 5 deficiency seizures

Marinus Pharamceuticals, Inc.

March 18, 2022

Glecaprevir; pibrentasvir

Mavyret

Hepatitis C

Abbvie Inc.

June 10, 2021

Glycopyrrolate

Dartisla ODT

Peptic ulcer

Edenbridge Pharms

December 16, 2021

Helium

Helium, USP

Multiple indications

General Air Service and Supply Company

July 26, 2021

Hydroxychloroquine sulphate

Hydroxychloroquine

Multiple indications

Novitium Pharma

January 14, 2022

Ibrexafungerp citrate

Brexafemme

Vaginal candidiasis

Scynexis

June 1, 2021

Inclisiran sodium

Leqvio

Hypercholesterolemia

Novartis

December 22, 2021

Infigratinib phosphate

Truseltiq

Oncology

Helsinn Hlthcare

May 28, 2021

Ketotifen fumarate

Acuvue

Allergy

Johnson Johnson Visn

February 25, 2022

Lanreotide acetate

Lanreotide

Gastroenteropancreatic tumours

Invagen Pharms

December 17, 2021

Leuprolide mesylate

Camcevi

Prostate cancer

Foresee Pharms

May 25, 2021

Levoketoconazole

Recorlev

Antifungal

Strongbridge

December 30, 2021

Levothyroxine sodium

Levothyroxine

Hypothyroidism

Custopharm Inc.

May 17, 2021

Lonapegsomatropin-TCGD

Skytrofa

Endogenous growth hormone insufficiency

Ascendis Pharma Encocrinology Div A/S

August 25, 2021

Loncastuximab tesirine-LPYL

Zynlontabla

B-cell lymphoma

Adc Therapeutics Sa

April 23, 2021

Lorazepam

Loreev

Multiple indications

Almatica

August 27, 2021

Lutetium LU-177 vipivotide tetraxetan

Pluvicto

Prostate-specific membrane antigen-positive metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer

Aaa Usa Novartis

March 23, 2022

Maralixibat chloride

Livmarli

Cholestatic pruritus in people with Alagille syndrome

Mirum

September 29, 2021

Maribavir

Livtencity

Post-transplant cytomegalovirus

Takeda Pharms Usa

November 23, 2021

Melphalan flufenamide hydrochloride

Pepaxto

Multiple myeloma

Oncopeptides Ab

February 26, 2021

Micafungin sodium

Micafungin

Antifungal

Par Sterile Products

June 16, 2021

Micafungin sodium

Micafungin

Antifungal

Teva Pharms Usa Inc.

July 30, 2021

Midazolam

Midazolam in 0.9% sodium chloride

Sedative

Inforlife

March 22, 2021

Mirabegron

Myrbetriq granules

Overactive bladder

Apgdi

March 25, 2021

Mitapivat sulphate

Pyrukynd

Hemolytic anemia

Agios Pharms Inc.

February 17, 2022

Mobocertinib succinate

Exkivity

Non–small cell lung cancer

Takeda Pharms Usa

September 15, 2021

Mometasone furoate

Nasonex 24hr Allergy

Allergy

Perrigo Pharma Intl

March 17, 2022

Mometasone furoate; olopatadine hydrochloride

Ryaltris

Allergy

Glenmark Specialty

January 13, 2022

Naloxone hydrochloride

Kloxxado

Opioid overdose

Hikma

April 29, 2021

Naloxone hydrochloride

Zimhi

Opioid overdose

Adamis Pharms Corp

October 15, 2021

Naloxone hydrochloride

Naloxone

Opioid overdose

Kaleo Inc.

February 28, 2022

Nivolumab;relatlimab-RMBW

Opdualag

Oncology

Bristol Myers Squibb

March 18, 2022

Norepinephrine bitartrate

Norepinephrine bitartrate in 5% dextrose

Multiple indications

Baxter Hlthcare Corp

January 15, 2021

Odevixibat

Bylvay

Itching in progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis

Albireo

July 20, 2021

Olanzapine; samidorphan l-malate

Lybalvi

Bipolar disorder, schizophrenia

Alkermes Inc.

May 28, 2021

Oritavancin diphosphate

Kimyrsa

Antibiotic

Melinta Therap

March 12, 2021

Paclitaxel

Paclitaxel

Oncology

Hbt Labs Inc.

June 30, 2021

Pacritinib citrate

Vonjo

Myelofibrosis

Cti Biopharma Corp

February 28, 2022

Pafolacianine sodium

Cytalux

Imaging agent for ovarian cancer

On Target Labs

November 29, 2021

Pegcetacoplan

Empaveli

Paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria

Apellis Pharms

May 14, 2021

Pemetrexed

Pemetrexed

Oncology

Hospira Inc.

January 8, 2021

Pemetrexed

Pemetrexed

Oncology

Hospira Inc.

February 23, 2021

Pemetrexed

Pemetrexed

Oncology

Sandoz Inc.

May 6, 2021

Piflufolastat F-18

Pylarify

Diagnostic imaging in prostate cancer

Progenics Pharms Inc.

May 26, 2021

Pilocarpine hydrochloride

Vuity

Presbyopia

Abbvie Inc.

October 28, 2021

Ponesimod

Ponvory

Multiple sclerosis

Janssen Pharms

March 18, 2021

Posaconazole

Noxafil Powdermix kit

Antifungal

Msd Merck Co

May 31, 2021

Ranibizumab

Susvimobla

Age-related macular degeneration

Genentech Inc.

October 22, 2021

Ranolazine

Aspruzyo sprinkle

Angina

Spil

February 28, 2022

Rivaroxaban

Xarelto

Anticoagulant

Janssen Pharms

December 20, 2021

Ropeginterferon alfa-2b-NJFT

Besremi

Polycythemia vera

Pharmaessentia Corp

November 12, 2021

Ruxolitinib phosphate

Opzelura

Myelofibrosis

Incyte Corp

September 21, 2021

Selexipag

Uptravi

Pulmonary arterial hypertension

Actelion

July 29, 2021

Semaglutide

Wegovy

Weight management

Novo

June 4, 2021

Sertraline hydrochloride

Sertraline

Multiple indications

Almatica

October 4, 2021

Sirolimus

Fyarro

Immunosuppressant

Aadi

November 22, 2021

Sirolimus

Hyftor

Immunosuppressant

Nobelpharma

March 22, 2022

Sitagliptin

Sitagliptin

Diabetes

Zydus Worldwide Dmcc

September 2, 2021

Sodium benzoate; sodium phenylacetate

Sodium phenylacetate and sodium benzoate

Hyperammonemia

Maia Pharms Inc.

June 10, 2021

Sofosbuvir; velpatasvir

Epclusa

Hepatitis C

Gilead Sciences Inc.

June 10, 2021

Sotorasib

Lumakras

Oncology

Amgen Inc.

May 28, 2021

Succinylcholine chloride

Succinylcholine

Skeletal muscle relaxant

Hikma

August 20, 2021

Sutimlimab-JOME

Enjaymo

Cold agglutinin disease

Bioverativ Therapeutics Inc.

February 4, 2022

Tebentafusp-TEBN

Kimmtrak

T-cell therapy for unresectable or metastatic uveal melanoma

Immunocore Ltd.

January 25, 2022

Technetium TC-99m succimer

Nephroscan

Renal diagnostic agent

Theragnostics

February 18, 2022

Tepotinib hydrochloride

Tepmetko

Metastatic non–small cell lung cancer

Emd Serono Inc.

February 3, 2021

Testosterone undecanoate

Tlando

Multiple indications

Antares Pharma Inc.

March 28, 2022

Tezepelumab-EKKO

Tezspire

Asthma

Astrazeneca Ab

December 17, 2021

Tisotumab vedotin-TFTV

Tivdakbla

Cervical cancer

Seagen

September 20, 2021

Tivozanib hydrochloride

Fotivda

Renal cell carcinoma

Aveo Pharms

March 10, 2021

Topiramate

Eprontia

Epilepsy

Azurity

November 5, 2021

Torsemide

Soaanz

Diuretic

Sarfe Pharms

June 14, 2021

Tralokinumab

Adbrybla

Atopic dermatitis

Leo Pharma As

December 27, 2021

Treprostinil

Yutrepia

Pulmonary arterial hypertension

Liquidia Technologies, Inc.

November 4, 2021

Triamcinolone acetonide

Xipere

Steroid

Bausch And Lomb Inc.

October 22, 2021

Trilaciclib dihydrochloride

Cosela

Chemotherapy-induced myelosuppression

G1 Therap

February 12, 2021

Umbralisib tosylate

Ukoniq

Lymphoma

Tg Theraps

February 5, 2021

Vancomycin

Vancomycin

Antibiotic

Xellia Pharms Aps

August 26, 2021

Varenicline tartrate

Tyrvaya

Smoking cessation

Oyster Point Pharma

October 15, 2021

Vericiguat

Verquvo

Heart failure

Merck Sharp Dohme

January 19, 2021

Viloxazine hydrochloride

Qelbree

Attention deficit disorder

Supernus Pharms

April 2, 2021

Voclosporin

Lupkynis

Lupus

Aurinia

January 22, 2021

Vosoritide

Voxzogo

Achondroplasia

Biomarin Pharm

November 19, 2021

Voxelotor

Oxbryta

Sickle cell anemia

Global Blood Theraps

December 17, 2021

Appendix 2: Author Information

Corresponding Author

Mina Tadrous

Leslie Dan Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Toronto

144 College St., Toronto, Ontario

mina.tadrous@utoronto.ca

Author Information

Mina Tadrous, PharmD, PhD;1-3 Pooyeh Graili, MD, MPH, MBE;2 Kaleen N. Hayes, PharmD;4 Heather L. Neville, BSc Pharm, MSc;5 Joanne Houlihan, BSc Pharm;6 Fiona Clement, PhD;7,8 Jason R. Guertin, PhD;9,10 Michael R. Law, PhD;11 Tara Gomes, PhD;2,3,12

1Women’s College Research Institute, Women’s College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

2Leslie Dan Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

3ICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

4Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, US

5Queen Elizabeth II Health Sciences Centre, Nova Scotia Health Authority, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

6Nova Scotia Cancer Care Program, Nova Scotia Health Authority, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

7Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada

8O’Brien Institute for Public Health, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada

9Axe Santé des populations et Pratiques optimales en santé, Centre de recherche du CHU de Québec-Université Laval, Québec, Canada

10Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, Université Laval, Québec, Canada

11Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

12Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Author Disclosures

Dr. Gomes received salary support through a Canada Research Chair in Drug Policy Research and Evaluation and grant funding from the Ontario Ministry of Health. Dr. Law received salary support through a Canada Research Chair in Access to Medicines. Dr. Law has consulted for Health Canada, the Health Employees’ Union, the Conference Board of Canada, and provided expert witness testimony for the Attorney General of Canada and the Federation of Post-secondary Educators. Dr. Guertin holds a research career award from the Fonds de recherche du Québec – Santé (FRQS). Dr. Guertin has consulted for the Institut national d’excellence en santé et services sociaux (INESSS). Dr. Tadrous has consulted for CADTH and Green Shield Canada. Ms. Neville is a member of the CADTH Canadian Drug Expert Committee. Ms. Houlihan is a member of the Provincial Advisory Committee for CADTH. Dr. Tadrous reported consulting fees from CADTH and Green Shield Canada and funding from the Ontario Ministry of Health.

Acknowledgements

All authors were involved in the design, interpretation of results, writing, conceptualization of recommendations, and revision of the manuscript. MT was involved in the implementation of the study and had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. MT is the guarantor of the content of the manuscript, including the data and analysis.

The statements, findings, conclusions, views, and opinions contained and expressed in the report are based in part on data obtained under license from IQVIA, Canada Inc. concerning the following information service(s): IQVIA’s Canadian Drugstore and Hospital Purchases Audit, data period January 1, 2001, and December 31, 2021. All rights reserved. The statements, findings, conclusions, views, and opinions expressed herein are not necessarily those of IQVIA Canada Inc. or any of its affiliated or subsidiary entities.